
The April 16 market saw the heaviest activity, with $130,166 in USDC traded. The order book was thin: moving the market 5 percentage points cost only $258. The largest single move was a 15-point spike, likely one large order pushing odds from 55% to 70%.
What to watch
The Claude 4.7 release on April 16 matches earlier bullish signals from Anthropic's announcements and documentation updates. With these markets now resolved, there's no remaining speculative value on this model's release timing. Trader attention shifts to Claude 5, which is unaffected by current events. Watch Anthropic's official channels and statements from Dario Amodei for any signals on that timeline.