Did Polymarket user bet Trump would praise Allah on Easter?
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Did Polymarket user bet Trump would praise Allah on Easter?

Snopes19d ago

There was no evidence such a bet existed on the Polymarket website. The rumor came from an apparent quip Adam Kinzinger, a CNN commentator and former Republican congressman, made on X and Facebook. We reached out to him to confirm the intent of his post.

In April 2026, a rumor spread that a user on prediction marketplace Polymarket bet U.S. President Donald Trump would praise Allah on Easter. The rumor spread after Trump made a post that included the phrase "Praise be to Allah" on his social media network, Truth Social, on Easter Sunday, April 5, 2026 (archived).

The best theory I've heard is that one of those betting sites like Polymarket or Kashi had the odds of Trump saying "Praise be to Allah" on Easter Sunday at odds of something like a trillion to one so the username "RealJohnBarron47" just made a killing

The username mentioned in the post was a reference to "John Barron," an alias Trump reportedly used to interact with the press when he lived and worked in New York City, and the number 47, referring to his current presidency (Trump was the 45th U.S. president during his first term and became the 47th following the 2024 presidential election). The implication of that post was that Trump himself made the bet that he would say "Praise be to Allah" on Polymarket, then posted the phrase publicly.

Snopes readers searched the website and emailed, seeking to confirm the veracity of the rumor.

As we will outline below, Snopes found no evidence of such a Polymarket bet, whether from Trump or anyone else. For this reason, we rated the rumor false.

Instead, the claim appeared to stem from a post former Republican congressman Adam Kinzinger posted on X. That post, which is embedded below, read, "Polymarket: 99-1 odds against the president praising Allah on Easter," followed by a screenshot of Trump's Truth Social post (archived):

(X user @AdamKinzinger)

Kinzinger also posted the apparent quip on Facebook. Others amplified his words. For example on X, someone reshared Kinzinger's post, adding a fabricated screenshot of the alleged Polymarket bet (archived):

(X user @CarOnPolymarket)

We reached out to Kinzinger to inquire if he had any basis to assert bettors on Polymarket would make this wager, or if he made the post as a joke. We will update this report should he respond.

A search on the Polymarket website using the keywords "Allah," "Praise be to Allah," "Trump will praise Allah on Easter," "Trump Allah" or "Trump Easter Allah" turned up no such wager.

After Trump's post, however, a new wager appeared on the website: "Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?." As of this writing, that prediction had a 10% probability, according to the users who made the bet.

For further information, Snopes has covered several rumors tied to Polymarket wagers, including the claim that Trump administration insiders accurately bet on the exact date the U.S. would first strike Iran.

Originally published by Snopes

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