
Musk raised the idea on Tesla's earnings call, saying there's "more and more overlap" between the companies while adding that an earnings call isn't the place to discuss a combination and that any move would need an "appropriate process." That overlap is real: Reuters noted Tesla already supplies batteries and manufacturing know-how for some SpaceX work, and both companies are developing Terafab, a semiconductor site meant to produce AI chips that could feed M..
usk's plans in AI, robotics, and advanced manufacturing.
Some on Wall Street think that makes a tie-up increasingly plausible. JPMorgan, an investment banking firm, recently pointed to shared engineering talent, AI infrastructure, and Musk's leadership as signs the businesses are already operating in tandem; other commentators have gone further, arguing a merger feels inevitable.
But "possible" isn't the same as "easy." Analysts also flagged regulatory hurdles, especially outside the US. And governance may be the biggest complication: Musk controls a much larger voting stake in privately held SpaceX than he does in publicly traded Tesla, which can make any proposed exchange of ownership highly sensitive for Tesla's outside shareholders.
Why should I care?
For markets: Tesla could pick up a governance risk premium if merger talk persists.
If a Tesla-SpaceX deal ever moved from talk to term sheet, it would likely be treated as a related-party transaction, since the same person effectively influences both sides. That typically triggers an independent board committee, fairness opinions, and intense proxy scrutiny focused on whether the exchange ratio and post-deal control shift value away from Tesla's public shareholders.
Until investors see that kind of credible, arms-length process and clear protections, the headline risk can linger. That can translate into a bigger "event-risk" discount on Tesla shares, where price moves reflect governance uncertainty as much as the underlying business.