SpaceX Files For Largest IPO In History: Here's What Prediction Markets Say About $1.75 Trillion Valuatio

• EchoStar shares are climbing with conviction. What's behind SATS gains?

Prediction Markets Are Already Moving

Polymarket's closing market cap contract prices a 51% chance SpaceX finishes its first trading day valued between $1.5 trillion and $2 trillion.

Polymarket traders give a 28% chance that the IPO is complete by June 15, a 62% chance by June 30, and a 94% chance by the end of the year.

Even straightforward IPOs take months to clear the SEC, and packaging rockets, satellites, defense contracts and a cash-burning AI lab into a single S-1 is anything but straightforward.

What Traders Are Watching

SpaceX would be the first of three potential mega-IPOs in 2026. OpenAI and Anthropic are both reportedly weighing offerings before year-end.

Nasdaq recently announced rule changes that could allow SpaceX to join the Nasdaq 100 within 15 days of listing, triggering billions in forced buying from index-tracking funds.

Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) remains the most liquid Musk-adjacent trade.

Photo: Thrive Studios ID via Shutterstock

Market News and Data brought to you by Benzinga APIs

To add Benzinga News as your preferred source on Google, click here.