
Today, stocks of prominent marijuana companies are experiencing a significant surge amid reports suggesting that President Donald Trump may soon sign an executive order concerning the legal status of cannabis.
According to a plan under the Trump administration, initially reported by Axios, marijuana might be reclassified as a Schedule III drug, aligning it with common prescription painkillers. Currently, it is classified as a Schedule I drug, in the same category as cocaine and heroin.
As news of the potential reclassification broke, shares of Canopy Growth (CGC) have soared by more than 20%. They are closely followed by Tilray Brands (TLRY), which has climbed 15%, and Aurora Cannabis (ABC), which has seen a rise of approximately 10%. Additionally, the AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis exchange-traded fund (MSOS) has increased by nearly 20% today.
This development marks a significant turn for marijuana stocks, which have underperformed in recent years. During Trump's first term, there was widespread investor anticipation that such rescheduling would occur, yet it never materialized.
If marijuana is reclassified, it would represent one of the most substantial shifts in federal drug policy in decades. Such a move would significantly lower the barriers for researchers looking to explore legitimate uses for cannabis.
This potential reclassification is not the Trump administration's first step towards loosening cannabis regulations. Last December, Trump signed an executive order directing the Department of Justice to begin drafting regulations for the drug's reclassification.
'I don't want it, okay,' said Trump in December. 'I'm not gonna be taking it. But a lot of people do want it. A lot of people need it.'
The move comes just days after Trump signed an executive order to ease access to psychedelic drugs for medical research.
Cannabis stocks have been an abysmal investment for years, but today's reports hold out hope for the long-neglected corner of the stock market - but investors must still proceed with caution.
Many of the highest-profile pot stocks are Canadian companies or got their start in Canada, which legalized recreational cannabis use nationwide in October 2018 - the first major nation to do so.
Take Tilray Brands - even among beaten-down marijuana stocks, this company has been an astonishing disappointment and a huge underperformer.
The company went public to great fanfare in mid 2018, part of a rush to market by a whole crop of new marijuana companies eager to cash in on Trump's promises to loosen up laws governing cannabis.
But between its peak in September 2018 and mid 2025, shares of the company lost 99 percent of their value - only perking up again over recent months as the Trump administration again started talking up marijuana rescheduling.
Rescheduling would be a boon for stocks like Tilray, since federal prohibition has trumped state legalization efforts that have been under way for years.
That's because companies that grow cannabis and sell marijuana products are still committing crimes under federal law, since they are trafficking in a schedule I drug.
While the Department of Justice had broadly left company alone due to state legalization, IRS tax law prohibits the companies from accessing common sources of financing or taking essential deductions and credits.
A downgrade to schedule III would eliminate the tax problems and give companies access to better financing and investing options.
'The reclassification to schedule III will have a material impact on the valuation of cannabis stocks,' wrote Matt Karnes, founder of cannabis industry financial analysis and research firm GreenWave Advisors.
Back in December, Trump's executive order directed the Drug Enforcement Agency to undertake work to prepare for the rescheduling marijuana.
But according to analysts, there has been little progress on the issue since then, and even Trump has expressed frustrations over the delay.
'Will you get the rescheduling done, please?' Trump said Saturday, appearing to direct his comments toward White House officials.