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The June 12 initial public offering of Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX 6.72%), better known as SpaceX, shattered the record for the largest Wall Street IPO in history. That was only the beginning of a whirlwind of events for Elon Musk's business. Just days later, on June 16, SpaceX announced its acquisition of artificial intelligence start-up Cursor for a whopping $60 billion. Then on June 22, the company issued its first bonds, selling $25 billion worth of debt. These activities illustrate the broader trends occurring across the technology sector. Get ready for a wild ride ahead as tech companies maneuver for dominance in the rapidly evolving artificial intelligence landscape. SpaceX demonstrates the mounting price for AI The race is on for leadership positions in the artificial intelligence era. Achieving one will be no small task, as SpaceX's recent moves indicate. Its acquisition of Cursor demonstrates that it recognizes the importance of creating a robust AI platform -- but it also shows the high costs involved. Cursor is a software development solution built on artificial intelligence that allows users to significantly accelerate programming tasks. It's proven popular, producing over $1 billion in annualized sales last year. SpaceX is far from alone here. Others in the tech space are rushing to snatch up AI businesses. On June 15, customer relationship management titan Salesforce announced it was spending $3.6 billion to acquire Fin, which provides an AI agent to answer customer inquiries. Along with acquisitions, AI brings other expenses, particularly related to infrastructure. SpaceX's inaugural bond offering is part of the company's financial maneuverings to position it for the capital commitments to come. Building and powering the vast server farms required to create and support increasingly sophisticated AI systems requires enormous levels of capital expenditures. The tech industry's costly AI pursuit Several businesses in the tech sector are facing the stark reality that AI infrastructure is expensive. Oracle, which provides cloud infrastructure for AI, warned, "We must incur significant capital and operating expenditures to increase our existing data center capacity." To fund its AI infrastructure build-out, Google parent Alphabet recently announced a massive $84.75 billion equity capital raise. Tech giant Meta Platforms increased its 2026 capital expenditure projection to a range between $125 billion and $145 billion. Last year, its capex to boost its AI capabilities was $72 billion. Wall Street was taken aback by this year's prodigious spending plan, and sold off Meta shares in response. The stock was down by nearly 20% over the past 12 months through July 2. Accelerating AI costs are hitting many tech companies, even those that aren't directly investing in infrastructure. This year, Uber blew through its annual AI budget in four months, and management is questioning whether the outcomes are worth the expense. Uber's sentiment extended to Wall Street, where concerns over rapidly rising AI costs led to a tech sector sell-off in June. SpaceX shares, which soared to $225.64 post-IPO, crashed to $147.11 on June 23. Until clarity emerges on whether all the AI spending is worth it, volatility is likely to persist across the technology sector. While it does, remember that the smart strategy is to keep a cool head and focus on the long-term performance of the tech companies in your portfolio, not their short-term stock oscillations.

The June 12 initial public offering of Space Exploration Technologies (NASDAQ: SPCX), better known as SpaceX, shattered the record for the largest Wall Street IPO in history. That was only the beginning of a whirlwind of events for Elon Musk's business. Just days later, on June 16, SpaceX announced its acquisition of artificial intelligence start-up Cursor for a whopping $60 billion. Then on June 22, the company issued its first bonds, selling $25 billion worth of debt. Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue " These activities illustrate the broader trends occurring across the technology sector. Get ready for a wild ride ahead as tech companies maneuver for dominance in the rapidly evolving artificial intelligence landscape. SpaceX demonstrates the mounting price for AI The race is on for leadership positions in the artificial intelligence era. Achieving one will be no small task, as SpaceX's recent moves indicate. Its acquisition of Cursor demonstrates that it recognizes the importance of creating a robust AI platform -- but it also shows the high costs involved. Cursor is a software development solution built on artificial intelligence that allows users to significantly accelerate programming tasks. It's proven popular, producing over $1 billion in annualized sales last year. SpaceX is far from alone here. Others in the tech space are rushing to snatch up AI businesses. On June 15, customer relationship management titan Salesforce announced it was spending $3.6 billion to acquire Fin, which provides an AI agent to answer customer inquiries. Along with acquisitions, AI brings other expenses, particularly related to infrastructure. SpaceX's inaugural bond offering is part of the company's financial maneuverings to position it for the capital commitments to come. Building and powering the vast server farms required to create and support increasingly sophisticated AI systems requires enormous levels of capital expenditures. The tech industry's costly AI pursuit Several businesses in the tech sector are facing the stark reality that AI infrastructure is expensive. Oracle, which provides cloud infrastructure for AI, warned, "We must incur significant capital and operating expenditures to increase our existing data center capacity." To fund its AI infrastructure build-out, Google parent Alphabet recently announced a massive $84.75 billion equity capital raise.
Cboe data shows mixed options sentiment in SpaceX (SPCX), with shares down $8.62 near $151.80. Options volume relatively light with 512k contracts traded and calls leading puts for a put/call ratio of 0.82, compared to a typical level near 0.73. Implied volatility (IV30) dropped 1.6 near 84.58,and above the 52wk median, suggesting an expected daily move of $8.09. Put-call skew flattened, suggesting a modestly bullish tone.
Cathie Wood's ARK ETF published their daily trades for Tuesday, July 7th, 2026, shedding light on significant moves across its portfolio. The most notable transaction was the purchase of 607,567 shares of X-Energy Inc (NASDAQ:XE) through its ARKK ETF, ARKQ ETF, and ARKX ETF, totaling $11,130,627. This continues a trend from previous days, showing ARK's growing interest in X-Energy. In a substantial sell, ARK offloaded 8,667 shares of Advanced Micro Devices Inc (NASDAQ:AMD) through its ARKK ETF, amounting to $4,784,617. This sale follows a pattern, as ARK sold 15,576 shares of AMD the previous day, indicating a potential shift in strategy regarding this stock. ARK also made a significant purchase of 44,196 shares of Space Exploration Technologies Corp (SPCX) through its ARKK ETF, with a total value of $7,089,922. This marks a considerable addition to their holdings, emphasizing ARK's bullish stance on SpaceX. Another notable buy was 6,354 shares of Eli Lilly and Co (NYSE:LLY) via the ARKG ETF, valued at $7,625,181, highlighting ARK's interest in the pharmaceutical sector. On the selling front, ARK divested 44,330 shares of BioNTech SE (NASDAQ:BNTX) from its ARKG ETF, totaling $4,163,916. This follows a broader trend of reducing positions in biotech firms. ARK's ARKG ETF also saw the sale of 72,323 shares of Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp (NASDAQ:ADPT), valued at $1,554,944, and 39,151 shares of CareDx Inc (NASDAQ:CDNA), worth $1,137,728, further reflecting a strategic shift in the biotech space. Meanwhile, ARK increased its stake in Compass Pathways PLC (NASDAQ:CMPS) by acquiring 191,070 shares through the ARKG ETF, amounting to $2,453,338, suggesting confidence in the potential of mental health therapeutics. Additionally, ARK continued to invest in Generate Biomedicines Inc (GENB) with the purchase of 44,170 shares through the ARKG ETF, valued at $747,356, following previous buys in recent days. Finally, ARK sold 40,787 shares of Illumina Inc (NASDAQ:ILMN) across its ARKK and ARKG ETFs, and 20,992 shares of Natera Inc (NASDAQ:NTRA), totaling $5,957,529, showing a consistent pattern of reducing exposure to these genomics companies. These trades illustrate ARK's dynamic investment strategy, balancing between high-conviction buys and strategic sales to optimize its portfolio in the ever-evolving market landscape. This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

A flood of analyst initiations on SpaceX (SPCX) hit the market Tuesday, 16 trading days after Elon Musk's rocket-telecom-AI-neocloud-social media company made its debut. Most of them were bullish. The stock fell by nearly 7%, closing below $150 for the first time since the SpaceX IPO. I've long called investing in Musk's endeavors faith-based. With SpaceX's IPO, shareholders are called upon to believe as never before. Including today's notes, analysts' average price target for the stock as tracked by Bloomberg is $236.45, 58% above Tuesday's close. Consider a partial list of milestones and hurdles that SpaceX must reach to rally that much and more in the coming years, according to their research notes: * Achieve Starship reusability. SpaceX's model pivots on its ability to launch and reuse rockets, making its ecosystem cost-effective. * Increase Starship payloads. Closely tied to the reusability goal, Starship must be able to carry enough weight on its missions to maximize efficiency. * Make Grok competitive following the closure of the Cursor acquisition. * Successfully and cost-effectively develop solar-powered data centers in space. * Raise $84 billion annually from 2027-2034 to support this build-out, according to Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas. (Goldman Sachs' Eric Sheridan frames it as $270 billion of debt capital to be raised between 2026 and 2030). * "To make life multi-planetary, leverage the Sun to build out AI in space, & build bases on the Moon and cities on other planets," as JPMorgan's Doug Anmuth writes. No biggie. The uncertainty of these goals is reflected in the wide range of forecasts related to them. For example, JPMorgan (JPM) projects 5,000 Starship launches by 2031; RBC expects 2,440 by 2030. Elon Musk brings out the preacher and the poet in even the most spreadsheet-minded number cruncher on Wall Street: "SpaceX's ambitions -- and potential impact on humanity -- are bigger than any company's we've ever seen." (Doug Anmuth, JPMorgan) "Musk has established himself as one of this generation's greatest innovators, and SpaceX has carried the torch for the U.S. industrial base during a time when peers have struggled." (Louie DiPalma, William Blair) "SpaceX represents in our view the apex of civilizational ambition, oftentimes expressed in steel and fire, bending the arc of history to make humans multiplanetary by building foundational infrastructure across transportation, connectivity, and AI." (Edison Yu, Deutsche Bank, who should consider moonlighting as a sci-fi author).
A flood of analyst initiations on SpaceX (SPCX) hit the market Tuesday, 16 trading days after Elon Musk's rocket-telecom-AI-neocloud-social media company made its debut. Most of them were bullish. The stock fell by nearly 7%, closing below $150 for the first time since the SpaceX IPO. I've long called investing in Musk's endeavors faith-based. With SpaceX's IPO, shareholders are called upon to believe as never before. Including today's notes, analysts' average price target for the stock as tracked by Bloomberg is $236.45, 58% above Tuesday's close. Consider a partial list of milestones and hurdles that SpaceX must reach to rally that much and more in the coming years, according to their research notes: * Achieve Starship reusability. SpaceX's model pivots on its ability to launch and reuse rockets, making its ecosystem cost-effective. * Increase Starship payloads. Closely tied to the reusability goal, Starship must be able to carry enough weight on its missions to maximize efficiency. * Make Grok competitive following the closure of the Cursor acquisition. * Successfully and cost-effectively develop solar-powered data centers in space. * Raise $84 billion annually from 2027-2034 to support this build-out, according to Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas. (Goldman Sachs' Eric Sheridan frames it as $270 billion of debt capital to be raised between 2026 and 2030). * "To make life multi-planetary, leverage the Sun to build out AI in space, & build bases on the Moon and cities on other planets," as JPMorgan's Doug Anmuth writes. No biggie. The uncertainty of these goals is reflected in the wide range of forecasts related to them. For example, JPMorgan (JPM) projects 5,000 Starship launches by 2031; RBC expects 2,440 by 2030. Elon Musk brings out the preacher and the poet in even the most spreadsheet-minded number cruncher on Wall Street: "SpaceX's ambitions -- and potential impact on humanity -- are bigger than any company's we've ever seen." (Doug Anmuth, JPMorgan) "Musk has established himself as one of this generation's greatest innovators, and SpaceX has carried the torch for the U.S. industrial base during a time when peers have struggled." (Louie DiPalma, William Blair) "SpaceX represents in our view the apex of civilizational ambition, oftentimes expressed in steel and fire, bending the arc of history to make humans multiplanetary by building foundational infrastructure across transportation, connectivity, and AI." (Edison Yu, Deutsche Bank, who should consider moonlighting as a sci-fi author).
NEW YORK -- Wall Street banks have high hopes for SpaceX but at the moment shares of Elon Musk's rocket market appear to be earthbound. Many of the investment firms that underwrote SpaceX's initial public offering issued their first research notes about the company Tuesday, and almost all recommended that investors buy the stock and forecast it to trade above $200 in the next 12 to 18 months. But after topping $200 in its first week of trading, the stock is trading around $150 per share, where it opened on June 12, its IPO day. Investors may be looking cautiously at the same factors that have Wall Street so enthusiastic about the stock. Analysts are focused on SpaceX's potential to lead the market for space transportation and infrastructure. The company's reusable rockets allow it to transport people and cargo into Earth's orbit and it is aiming for deeper exploration of the solar system. Most of the company's revenue currently comes from its Starlink satellites, and AI innovations are expected to advance that technology. "SpaceX's ambitions, and potential impact on humanity, are bigger than any company's we've ever seen," said a analysts from J.P. Morgan, in a research report. The bank expects the stock price to reach $225 by the end of 2027. It cited the company's competitive advantage in space transportation, with about 670 orbital launches and a nearly 99% success rate with its Falcon rockets. Most payloads launched into orbit since 2023 were through SpaceX. The company has dominated the reusable space rocket market with its Falcon 9, but its gigantic Starship rocket is the key to launching bigger pieces of cargo, including data centers. Investment bank Raymond James is by far the most optimistic. Its analysts expect the stock to eventually reach $800 per share and consider SpaceX a key industrial company for the 21st century. "Just as railroads, electric grids, and the Internet reshaped prior economic eras, we believe SpaceX is building the foundational platform for the next generation of industrial capacity," the analysts wrote in a research report. SpaceX founder Elon Musk decided to take the company public because it needs money to fund its ambitions, including putting more satellites and eventually data centers into space. It's more ambitious goals include establishing a colony on Mars. For now, Starship is still in the test phase and no technology exists to put data centers in space or send people to Mars. Wall Street analysts acknowledge that a delay or failure to establish a steady schedule of launches for Starship is a risk that could torpedo their forecasts. SpaceX ended its first day on Wall Street in June with a market value of more than $2 trillion and is still sitting around that level. That made Musk the world's first trillionaire, though his net worth has since fallen back below $1 trillion, according to Forbes. A few banks on Wall Street are more cautious about the company's prospects. Equity research firm MoffettNathanson said it sees the potential, but has given the company a more "neutral" rating and sees the stock eventually sitting at $131 per share. The concerns are over many of the unknowns related to regulatory issues, technology and demand. "It is, in short, a bet on any and all things made possible by a virtual lock on rocket manufacturing and launch," MoffettNathanson said in a report.
The SpaceX buy came as the Elon Musk-led company's stock retreated from its first-week debut highs. Shares have fallen 28.9% from a peak of $225.64, though SpaceX still commands a market value of about $2.1 trillion, placing it among the world's most valuable companies. The AMD Trade The chipmaker's rally came as Japanese autonomous driving startup Turing Inc. said it raised $79 million in an extension of its Series A round, adding AMD Ventures as a new investor and expanding use of AMD's AI accelerators. The funding valued Turing at about $600 million. Other Key Trades Benzinga Edge Stock Rankings indicate SpaceX Stock doesn't check out on Short, Medium, and Long Price Trends. Image via Shutterstock Market News and Data brought to you by Benzinga APIs To add Benzinga News as your preferred source on Google, click here.

Morgan Stanley sets $300 price target on Space as Goldman Sachs arrives at $205 What's SpaceX worth? Analysts at underwriters now have their say. The two lead underwriters on SpaceX's initial public offering, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, have a valuation gap of more than $1 trillion as they both initiated coverage at the equivalent of buy. Goldman Sachs analysts led by Eric Sheridan set a price target of $205 on the rocket-launching company, while Morgan Stanley analysts led by Adam Jonas set a $300 target, as the 25-day quiet period expired for SpaceX's underwriters. SpaceX (SPCX)closed Monday at $160.42, more than 25% below the post-IPO high of $225.64 but still above the IPO valuation of $135. The ironic aspect is that Goldman actually is forecasting better financial performance than Morgan Stanley. SpaceX won't become free-cash-flow positive until 2031 on Goldman's numbers, but is forecast to double revenue this year with adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization reaching $352 billion, from last year's $6.58 billion, by the end of the decade. The Morgan Stanley team have a more conservative approach to the near term - they see SpaceX's adjusted EBITDA to be $162 billion by 2029, and they don't expect SpaceX to become free cash flow positive until 2035. The difference, then, is how they translate those estimates into a price target. Morgan Stanley discounts cash flow by each division over 15 years "with triangulation/support through multiples," while Goldman's valuation is based on 2029 numbers. Each team does acknowledge the gap between their numbers and the current reality. "Space is hard," say Jonas and team, as they say the outlook depends on several technologies not yet proven at commercial scale, like fully reusable Starships capable of hitting thousands of launches a year and orbital compute. Sheridan makes a similar point. "In many ways, SpaceX presents a track record of building toward solutions which many industry experts had previously viewed to be implausible (albeit with this execution not being as linear as public market investors typically desire), particularly with regard to their ability to be the low cost provider of various infrastructure as a service offerings," says the Goldman note. -Steve Goldstein This content was created by MarketWatch, which is operated by Dow Jones & Co. MarketWatch is published independently from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal. (END) Dow Jones Newswires 07-07-26 0420ET Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.

Remember when Twitter was Twitter? Then Elon Musk bought it, renamed it to X, launched an AI company called xAI, which acquired X, and then Musk's space company SpaceX merged with xAI, which has now been renamed to SpaceXAI. At some point, it may become practical to just lump it all together as "that Musk thing." To clarify: SpaceX is the public company and the parent corporate entity that towers above it all; SpaceXAI is a subsidiary of SpaceX, and X is a subsidiary of SpaceXAI (there's another layer between these called X Holdings, but perhaps it's best not to complicate things any further). The change, alongside a new logo for the company, has been announced on SpaceXAI's official X account, which has also been changed to @SpaceXAI. SpaceX acquired xAI in February 2026, shortly before SpaceX's monster IPO in June, which immediately propelled the company to a valuation of roughly $1.8 trillion (it currently stands at about $2.1 trillion). The acquisition was (officially) about Musk's idea of creating huge AI data centers in space. The company plans to start demoing Starmind (as this infrastructure will be called) in late 2027, with actual commercial deployment starting in 2028. We'd never mention the fact that xAI was burning money and needed a wealthy parent company to keep it afloat.

By Purvi Agarwal and Rashika Singh July 7 (Reuters) - SpaceX's addition to the Nasdaq 100 on Tuesday is expected to unleash billions in passive buying, as brokerages kick off coverage of the $2 trillion-plus rocket and satellite company with broadly bullish views. The company joins the index just 15 days after its stock market debut on June 12 - among the fastest inclusions ever - thanks to the Nasdaq's revised rules for newly listed companies looking to enter widely tracked benchmarks. Its debut in the tech-heavy index is set to create another source of demand for its shares as index funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tied to the Nasdaq 100 will need to buy shares to match the benchmark's new composition. Active managers who track the index closely may also adjust their positions. Many retail investors prefer investing in funds to diversify their holdings. Over $587 billion is benchmarked in funds tracking the Nasdaq 100, including Invesco's QQQ and QQQM, which will now have to make room for SpaceX. J.P. Morgan estimated last month that SpaceX's addition to the index could draw $4.3 billion in passive inflows. QUIET PERIOD ENDS Investors are awaiting a wave of reports from Wall Street brokerages making their first attempt to value SpaceX as a publicly traded company, applying traditional valuation metrics to a business that's largely been assessed by investors' belief in Musk's long-term bets. The industry-mandated quiet period ends for analysts at banks that underwrote the blockbuster IPO - led by Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, BofA Securities, Citigroup and J.P. Morgan. Both Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs started coverage on the stock on Tuesday with their top ratings, with Morgan Stanley dubbing the company "AI's final frontier." "We see the company as well-positioned to scale its differentiated advantages across space, connectivity, and AI," Goldman analysts said, betting each market has the potential to become a multi-trillion-dollar opportunity over a five-year-plus horizon. Brokerages RBC, Bernstein, and Stifel also initiated coverage with their top ratings, betting on the success of Starship, SpaceX's next-generation rocket that is designed to be fully reusable. "The Starship is the flywheel that powers SpaceX's ambitions," RBC analysts said. Earlier this month, Oppenheimer became the first to initiate coverage with an "outperform" rating. INVESTORS BET ON AI CAPABILITIES Investors are betting SpaceX can evolve into a hyperscale AI infrastructure provider in the near term, using cash generated to fund the development of Grok as it takes on OpenAI's GPT models and Anthropic's Claude. They also see significant room for Starlink to expand its dominance in satellite communications, while much of the company's longer-term ambitions depend on the successful development of its next-generation Starship rocket. However, not everyone is bullish on SpaceX. Morningstar analysts pegged the company's valuation at about $780 billion, citing uncertainty around its AI business, including xAI and social media platform X. With a market capitalization of $2.1 trillion, SpaceX is the sixth-largest U.S. company, and CEO Elon Musk the world's first trillionaire. FTSE Russell added the stock to its U.S. indexes last month, with funds such as iShares Russell 1000 ETF already giving investors a piece of the biggest IPO in U.S. history. However, S&P Global declined to create a similar fast-track process for the benchmark S&P 500 in June, and it is expected to take at least a year before SpaceX joins the world's most widely tracked index. SpaceX shares have gained more than 6% since their debut in their short ride marked by post-IPO volatility. (Reporting by Purvi Agarwal, Rashika Singh and Akash Sriram in Bengaluru; Editing by Anil D'Silva and Saumyadeb Chakrabarty)
Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX 0.97%), otherwise known as SpaceX, is joining the Nasdaq-100 index today. This means that exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tracking the index, including the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ +1.43%), will soon own the stock indirectly. J.P. Morgan, part of JPMorgan Chase, expects this index inclusion to trigger about $4.3 billion in passive buying from index-tracking funds. Although this will serve as a clear near-term demand catalyst for SpaceX, Invesco QQQ Trust investors are also getting exposure to a founder-controlled company with a limited number of publicly traded shares (float) and an unprofitable business. Why SpaceX's Nasdaq-100 entry matters for QQQ investors Invesco QQQ Trust tracks the Nasdaq-100, which includes the 100 largest non-financial companies listed on Nasdaq. SpaceX's quick entry became possible because the Nasdaq-100 changed its inclusion rules in 2026. Starting May 1, large newly public companies like SpaceX can be added after just 15 trading days if they rank among the top 40 eligible Nasdaq-listed companies. However, if only a limited number of shares are publicly traded, Nasdaq can limit how much weight the stock gets in the index. The change reflects today's market, where some very large companies stay private for longer and list with only a limited number of shares available for public investors. SpaceX's Nasdaq-100 inclusion will give Invesco QQQ Trust investors exposure to the space, satellite broadband, and artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure company before S&P 500 (^GSPC +0.72%) index fund investors get it automatically. Reuters reported that SpaceX would need at least 12 months of public trading history, generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) profitability, and a public float of at least 10% before it can be considered for inclusion in the S&P 500. However, according to Reuters' estimates, SpaceX's public float is only 3% to 4%. The company also posted a $4.94 billion net loss in 2025. Since only a small portion of SpaceX shares is available for public trading, buying by funds that track the Nasdaq-100 can have a bigger effect on the stock price. But once that buying is complete, the same limited supply of tradable shares can also make the stock move more sharply if investors start selling. So, Invesco QQQ Trust investors should ask whether SpaceX's Nasdaq-100 inclusion has already lifted the stock enough to limit its near-term gains. Starlink is the key business to watch The best reason for Invesco QQQ Trust investors to take SpaceX seriously is its Starlink satellite internet business. SpaceX generated $18.7 billion of revenue in 2025, with the Starlink-powered connectivity business accounting for about 60% of total sales. The business had about 10.3 million users across roughly 9,600 satellites at the end of the first quarter. Starlink is SpaceX's clearest profit engine and is helping offset losses from the company's other growth initiatives. In the first quarter, the connectivity segment generated $1.2 billion of operating profit. But SpaceX still reported a total operating loss of $1.9 billion on $4.7 billion of revenue. SpaceX's reusable Falcon 9 rocket has helped make the company a leading launch provider for NASA, the Pentagon, and commercial customers. According to Reuters, SpaceX has gone from one launch in 2006 to more than two launches per week, giving it a much faster launch pace than its rivals. The Federal Communications Commission has approved SpaceX to deploy another 7,500 second-generation Starlink satellites, bringing the approved Gen2 satellite count to 15,000. More satellites should give Starlink more network capacity, which can support faster broadband and mobile connectivity service, as well as growth in aviation, maritime, enterprise, and government markets. Additionally, if the next-generation reusable rocket system, Starship, works at commercial scale, it could lower launch costs and help SpaceX deploy larger, higher-capacity satellites faster. Investors are getting growth, but also uncertainty The biggest risk is that Invesco QQQ Trust is being required to buy an expensive story. SpaceX currently trades at nearly 81 times trailing-12-month sales, even though it is a money-losing business. SpaceX's AI business could become a major long-term growth engine, especially after Anthropic agreed to pay SpaceX $1.25 billion per month through May 2029 for compute capacity. But investors should not treat that as guaranteed revenue. Reuters reported that either company can terminate the agreement with 90 days' notice, and that fees are lower during the ramp-up period. The company is also spending heavily on an AI infrastructure business that is not yet profitable. In the first quarter, the AI segment reported an operating loss of nearly $2.5 billion on $818 million of revenue. Additionally, Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk accounts for 82.3% of SpaceX's voting power. Hence, although public investors may own the stock, they will have little control over major company decisions. So, Invesco QQQ Trust investors are getting automatic exposure to a company where major decisions will remain heavily shaped by Musk, not by public shareholders. NASA's inspector general said SpaceX's Artemis III Starship work has faced delays, while refueling the vehicle in space remains one of the biggest technical challenges. With Starship being crucial to SpaceX's plan to launch more satellites at lower cost and support NASA's moon missions, it also adds to the company's execution risk. Invesco QQQ Trust investors should not panic over one index addition. SpaceX will likely be a modest initial QQQ position because of its limited float. But investors should recognize that QQQ is becoming a slightly more aggressive fund, with higher valuation risk, more execution risk, and more Musk-specific governance risk. While SpaceX's addition is not a reason to abandon the ETF, it should also remind investors that the Invesco QQQ Trust is not a broad-market fund. Investors should watch Starlink profits, AI losses, Starship progress, and future earnings reports before assuming this index addition is automatically good news.

Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley released wildly divergent revenue forecasts for the newly public space giant, and the difference comes down to one word: AI When two of Wall Street's most powerful banks can't agree on what a company is worth, and the gap between their estimates stretches to roughly $1 trillion, investors should probably pay attention. SpaceX's post-IPO quiet period ended in early July, unleashing a flood of analyst reports from the underwriters who shepherded the largest public offering in history. Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, the two lead underwriters, published their inaugural coverage notes within days of each other. The numbers that don't add up Goldman Sachs projects SpaceX will generate $474 billion in total revenue by 2030. Morgan Stanley pegs that figure at $330 billion. That's a $144 billion disagreement on a four-year outlook. The core of the disagreement sits squarely on AI. Goldman attributes $322 billion of its 2030 revenue estimate to AI operations, while Morgan Stanley sees that segment contributing $190 billion. A $132 billion gap in a single revenue line item. Zoom out to 2040 and the divergence gets genuinely absurd. Morgan Stanley forecasts $3.4 trillion in revenue and over $2.7 trillion in adjusted EBITDA by that year. If Goldman's more aggressive growth assumptions hold through the decade, the implied valuation gap between the two banks' models balloons to around $1 trillion. The IPO that broke records SpaceX priced its IPO at $135 per share on June 11, 2026, raising $75 billion in one of the most anticipated public offerings ever. The greenshoe option pushed the total raise to $85.7 billion. Only about 4% of the company was sold to the public. When trading began on June 12, shares surged enough to push SpaceX's market capitalization to approximately $2.1 trillion. The implied equity valuation at offering was about $1.77 trillion, meaning the market added roughly $330 billion in perceived value on day one alone. The underwriting fees tell their own story. At under 0.75% of the total raise, SpaceX negotiated a fee structure well below the typical 3-7% charged on large IPOs. Even so, the sheer size of the deal meant the total fee pool landed somewhere between $500 million and $650 million. Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley each captured approximately 20% of that pool, meaning each bank walked away with north of $100 million for their efforts. Why the AI bet matters for everyone The two banks are effectively placing opposite-end bets on how quickly AI capabilities can be monetized at scale through satellite infrastructure and space-based computing. Goldman's model assumes AI operations become the dominant revenue driver within four years, essentially dwarfing the launch and satellite connectivity businesses that made SpaceX famous. Morgan Stanley's model treats AI as a significant but not overwhelming contributor, keeping more weight on legacy revenue streams. Investors watching SpaceX should focus on the quarterly AI revenue disclosures that will begin arriving later this year. The first few earnings reports will start revealing which bank's crystal ball is less foggy. If AI revenue tracks closer to Goldman's projections, the stock likely has room to run. If Morgan Stanley's estimates prove more accurate, the current $2.1 trillion market cap could face pressure.

Space Exploration Technologies (NASDAQ: SPCX), otherwise known as SpaceX, is joining the Nasdaq-100 index today. This means that exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tracking the index, including the Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ: QQQ), will soon own the stock indirectly. J.P. Morgan, part of JPMorgan Chase, expects this index inclusion to trigger about $4.3 billion in passive buying from index-tracking funds. Although this will serve as a clear near-term demand catalyst for SpaceX, Invesco QQQ Trust investors are also getting exposure to a founder-controlled company with a limited number of publicly traded shares (float) and an unprofitable business. Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue " Why SpaceX's Nasdaq-100 entry matters for QQQ investors Invesco QQQ Trust tracks the Nasdaq-100, which includes the 100 largest non-financial companies listed on Nasdaq. SpaceX's quick entry became possible because the Nasdaq-100 changed its inclusion rules in 2026. Starting May 1, large newly public companies like SpaceX can be added after just 15 trading days if they rank among the top 40 eligible Nasdaq-listed companies. However, if only a limited number of shares are publicly traded, Nasdaq can limit how much weight the stock gets in the index. The change reflects today's market, where some very large companies stay private for longer and list with only a limited number of shares available for public investors. SpaceX's Nasdaq-100 inclusion will give Invesco QQQ Trust investors exposure to the space, satellite broadband, and artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure company before S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) index fund investors get it automatically. Reuters reported that SpaceX would need at least 12 months of public trading history, generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) profitability, and a public float of at least 10% before it can be considered for inclusion in the S&P 500. However, according to Reuters' estimates, SpaceX's public float is only 3% to 4%. The company also posted a $4.94 billion net loss in 2025. Since only a small portion of SpaceX shares is available for public trading, buying by funds that track the Nasdaq-100 can have a bigger effect on the stock price. But once that buying is complete, the same limited supply of tradable shares can also make the stock move more sharply if investors start selling. So, Invesco QQQ Trust investors should ask whether SpaceX's Nasdaq-100 inclusion has already lifted the stock enough to limit its near-term gains.
By Purvi Agarwal and Rashika Singh July 7 (Reuters) - SpaceX's addition to the Nasdaq 100 on Tuesday is expected to unleash billions in passive buying, as brokerages kick off coverage of the $2 trillion-plus rocket and satellite company with broadly bullish views. The company joins the index just 15 days after its stock market debut on June 12 - among the fastest inclusions ever - thanks to the Nasdaq's revised rules for newly listed companies looking to enter widely tracked benchmarks. Its debut in the tech-heavy index is set to create another source of demand for its shares as index funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tied to the Nasdaq 100 will need to buy shares to match the benchmark's new composition. Active managers who track the index closely may also adjust their positions. Many retail investors prefer investing in funds to diversify their holdings. Over $587 billion is benchmarked in funds tracking the Nasdaq 100, including Invesco's QQQ and QQQM, which will now have to make room for SpaceX. J.P. Morgan estimated last month that SpaceX's addition to the index could draw $4.3 billion in passive inflows. QUIET PERIOD ENDS Investors are awaiting a wave of reports from Wall Street brokerages making their first attempt to value SpaceX as a publicly traded company, applying traditional valuation metrics to a business that's largely been assessed by investors' belief in Musk's long-term bets. The industry-mandated quiet period ends for analysts at banks that underwrote the blockbuster IPO - led by Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, BofA Securities, Citigroup and J.P. Morgan. Both Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs started coverage on the stock on Tuesday with their top ratings, with Morgan Stanley dubbing the company "AI's final frontier." "We see the company as well-positioned to scale its differentiated advantages across space, connectivity, and AI," Goldman analysts said, betting each market has the potential to become a multi-trillion-dollar opportunity over a five-year-plus horizon. Brokerages RBC, Bernstein, and Stifel also initiated coverage with their top ratings, betting on the success of Starship, SpaceX's next-generation rocket that is designed to be fully reusable. "The Starship is the flywheel that powers SpaceX's ambitions," RBC analysts said. Earlier this month, Oppenheimer became the first to initiate coverage with an "outperform" rating. INVESTORS BET ON AI CAPABILITIES Investors are betting SpaceX can evolve into a hyperscale AI infrastructure provider in the near term, using cash generated to fund the development of Grok as it takes on OpenAI's GPT models and Anthropic's Claude. They also see significant room for Starlink to expand its dominance in satellite communications, while much of the company's longer-term ambitions depend on the successful development of its next-generation Starship rocket. However, not everyone is bullish on SpaceX. Morningstar analysts pegged the company's valuation at about $780 billion, citing uncertainty around its AI business, including xAI and social media platform X. With a market capitalization of $2.1 trillion, SpaceX is the sixth-largest U.S. company, and CEO Elon Musk the world's first trillionaire. FTSE Russell added the stock to its U.S. indexes last month, with funds such as iShares Russell 1000 ETF already giving investors a piece of the biggest IPO in U.S. history. However, S&P Global declined to create a similar fast-track process for the benchmark S&P 500 in June, and it is expected to take at least a year before SpaceX joins the world's most widely tracked index. SpaceX shares have gained more than 6% since their debut in their short ride marked by post-IPO volatility.

The Nasdaq-100 inclusion is expected to attract billions in passive investment for the company amid strong brokerage optimism. NEW YORK: SpaceX's addition to the Nasdaq 100 on Tuesday is expected to unleash billions in passive buying, as brokerages kick off coverage of the US$2 trillion-plus rocket and satellite company with broadly bullish views. The company joins the index just 15 days after its stock market debut on June 12 - among the fastest inclusions ever - thanks to the Nasdaq's revised rules for newly listed companies looking to enter widely tracked benchmarks. Its debut in the tech-heavy index is set to create another source of demand for its shares as index funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tied to the Nasdaq 100 will need to buy shares to match the benchmark's new composition. Active managers who track the index closely may also adjust their positions. Many retail investors prefer investing in funds to diversify their holdings. Over US$587 billion is benchmarked in funds tracking the Nasdaq 100, including Invesco, which will now have to make room for SpaceX. JP Morgan estimated last month that SpaceX's addition to the index could draw US$4.3 billion in passive inflows. Quiet period ends Investors are awaiting a wave of reports from Wall Street brokerages making their first attempt to value SpaceX as a publicly traded company, applying traditional valuation metrics to a business that's largely been assessed by investors' belief in Musk's long-term bets. The industry-mandated quiet period ends for analysts at banks that underwrote the blockbuster IPO - led by Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, BofA Securities, Citigroup and JP Morgan. Both Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs started coverage on the stock on Tuesday with their top ratings, with Morgan Stanley dubbing the company "AI's final frontier." "We see the company as well-positioned to scale its differentiated advantages across space, connectivity, and AI," Goldman analysts said, betting each market has the potential to become a multi-trillion-dollar opportunity over a five-year-plus horizon. Brokerages RBC, Bernstein, and Stifel also initiated coverage with their top ratings, betting on the success of Starship, SpaceX's next-generation rocket that is designed to be fully reusable. "The Starship is the flywheel that powers SpaceX's ambitions," RBC analysts said. Earlier this month, Oppenheimer became the first to initiate coverage with an "outperform" rating. Investors bet on AI capabilities Investors are betting SpaceX can evolve into a hyperscale AI infrastructure provider in the near term, using cash generated to fund the development of Grok as it takes on OpenAI's GPT models and Anthropic's Claude. They also see significant room for Starlink to expand its dominance in satellite communications, while much of the company's longer-term ambitions depend on the successful development of its next-generation Starship rocket. However, not everyone is bullish on SpaceX. Morningstar analysts pegged the company's valuation at about US$780 billion, citing uncertainty around its AI business, including xAI and social media platform X. With a market capitalization of US$2.1 trillion, SpaceX is the sixth-largest US company, and CEO Elon Musk the world's first trillionaire. FTSE Russell added the stock to its US indexes last month, with funds such as iShares Russell 1000 ETF already giving investors a piece of the biggest IPO in US history. However, S&P Global declined to create a similar fast-track process for the benchmark S&P 500 in June, and it is expected to take at least a year before SpaceX joins the world's most widely tracked index. SpaceX shares have gained more than 6% since their debut in their short ride marked by post-IPO volatility.

Investors are looking ahead to Wednesday -- when minutes from the Federal Reserve's latest meeting will be released. They'll also be watching for today's inclusion of SpaceX in the Nasdaq-100 index and Friday, when SK Hynix's U.S.-listed shares are due to begin trading. Today Markets: SpaceX joins ...
Elon Musk's artificial intelligence company xAI has officially changed its name to SpaceXAI, five months after SpaceX acquired the business. SpaceXAI announced the change through a post on X and also introduced a new logo. The company's account on the social network now carries the SpaceXAI name. However, SpaceX continues to operate a separate account covering its rockets, spacecraft, and launches. Merger Completed Musk first disclosed the SpaceXAI name in May, when he said xAI would no longer operate as a separate company and would instead become SpaceX's artificial intelligence business. SpaceX officially acquired xAI in February 2026. The company's public offering documents describe xAI as the foundation of SpaceX's AI division and part of a broader plan to combine artificial intelligence with its space and connectivity businesses. The xAI website has already been updated with the SpaceXAI name and logo. However, according to Stocktwits, the new branding has not yet appeared in official corporate filings. Orbital Data Centers SpaceXAI plans to develop data centers in space as demand for the electricity required to operate AI infrastructure continues to rise. When SpaceX acquired xAI, Musk argued that terrestrial infrastructure would not be able to meet global AI electricity demand. He described moving power-intensive data-center operations into space as the logical solution. SpaceX had already filed an application with the US Federal Communications Commission before announcing the acquisition. The filing seeks permission to launch and operate up to one million satellites as part of an orbital data-center system. The proposed satellites would operate at altitudes ranging from 500 kilometres to 2,000 kilometres and communicate through high-bandwidth optical links. X Also Comes Under SpaceXAI The combined business also includes a social media platform, X. xAI acquired X in 2025, meaning the platform became part of SpaceX when it purchased xAI. It now sits under the wider SpaceXAI structure alongside Grok and the company's other AI products. Public Market Debut SpaceX, including its acquired xAI and X businesses, went public in June 2026. The company's shares closed their first trading day at $160.95, or approximately $161, giving SpaceX a market value of around $2.1 trillion, according to f. The SpaceXAI rebrand formally brings Musk's space, artificial intelligence, and social media operations under one corporate identity, although SpaceX will continue to use its established name for its space-related activities.

Investing.com -- Several Wall Street banks initiated coverage of Space Exploration Technologies on Tuesday, setting price targets ranging from $190 to $300, with the spread largely reflecting how differently analysts value SpaceX's AI and satellite businesses. Morgan Stanley set the highest bar, starting the stock at Overweight with a $300 target, flanked by an "intentionally wide $75 bear case and $600 bull case." Analysts led by Adam Jonas pitched SpaceX as holding "an 'X of 1' position in space infrastructure," and argued the market is underappreciating the company's terrestrial data-center economics, where it estimates costs run at half the industry average. They also flagged the funding gap behind that growth, projecting SpaceX will need roughly $84 billion a year in outside capital from 2027 through 2034 before the business turns free-cash-flow positive. RBC initiated at Outperform with a $225 target, based on about 15 times its 2029 EBITDA estimate. The broker's thesis centers on compute as a durable moat, writing that "AI models and applications may come and go, but compute lasts forever." RBC named Starship's flight-test cadence as the top near-term catalyst for the stock, alongside the pending Cursor acquisition and the rollout of Starlink's next-generation V3 satellites. Stifel initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a $190 target, the lowest of the four. The firm's thesis is built around launch economics, arguing that "lowest cost to orbit wins everything above it." Stifel credits Falcon 9's reusability with pushing launch costs to roughly $3,000 per kilogram, a level it says no competitor has matched, but applies a lighter multiple to the AI segment specifically, citing execution risk around orbital data centers that remain unproven at commercial scale. Finally, UBS set its target at $210 with a Buy rating, sizing the combined launch, connectivity and AI opportunity at nearly $30 trillion if Starship performs as expected. The bank forecast revenue and EBITDA growing at roughly 70% and 90% annual rates through 2031, with launch costs falling to about $200 per kilogram from roughly $1,000 currently. UBS views the stock as offering investors "a call option" on Elon Musk's plans to make life multiplanetary, while keeping that scenario outside its base case. The fresh coverage comes less than a month after SpaceX's Nasdaq debut. The company priced its IPO at $135 a share on June 12 and raised about $86 billion, the largest offering on record. Shares have traded above that level since, closing Monday at $160.42, though still well below the roughly $225 high the stock reached in its first weeks of trading.

SpaceX's addition to the Nasdaq 100 on Wall Street today is expected to unleash billions in passive buying, as brokerages kick off coverage of the $2 trillion-plus rocket and satellite company with broadly bullish views. The company joins the index just 15 days after its stock market debut on June 12 - among the fastest inclusions ever - thanks to the Nasdaq's revised rules for newly listed companies looking to enter widely tracked benchmarks. Its debut in the tech-heavy index is set to create another source of demand for its shares as index funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tied to the Nasdaq 100 will need to buy shares to match the benchmark's new composition. Active managers who track the index closely may also adjust their positions. Many retail investors prefer investing in funds to diversify their holdings. Over $587 billion is benchmarked in funds tracking the Nasdaq 100, including Invesco's QQQ and QQQM, which will now have to make room for SpaceX. JP Morgan estimated last month that SpaceX's addition to the index could draw $4.3 billion in passive inflows. Investors are waiting for a wave of reports from Wall Street brokerages making their first attempt to value SpaceX as a publicly traded company, applying traditional valuation metrics to a business that has largely been assessed by investors' belief in Musk's long-term bets. The industry-mandated quiet period ends for analysts at banks that underwrote the blockbuster IPO - led by Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, BofA Securities, Citigroup and JP Morgan. Both Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs started coverage on the stock today with their top ratings, with Morgan Stanley dubbing the company "AI's final frontier." "We see the company as well-positioned to scale its differentiated advantages across space, connectivity, and AI," Goldman analysts said, betting each market has the potential to become a multi-trillion-dollar opportunity over a five-year-plus horizon. Brokerages RBC, Bernstein, and Stifel also initiated coverage with their top ratings, betting on the success of Starship, SpaceX's next-generation rocket that is designed to be fully reusable. "The Starship is the flywheel that powers SpaceX's ambitions," RBC analysts said. Earlier this month, Oppenheimer became the first to initiate coverage with an "outperform" rating. Investors bet on AI capabilities Investors are betting SpaceX can evolve into a hyperscale AI infrastructure provider in the near term, using cash generated to fund the development of Grok as it takes on OpenAI's GPT models and Anthropic's Claude. They also see significant room for Starlink to expand its dominance in satellite communications, while much of the company's longer-term ambitions depend on the successful development of its next-generation Starship rocket. However, not everyone is bullish on SpaceX. Morningstar analysts pegged the company's valuation at about $780 billion, citing uncertainty around its AI business, including xAI and social media platform X. With a market capitalisation of $2.1 trillion, SpaceX is the sixth-largest US company, and CEO Elon Musk the world's first trillionaire. FTSE Russell added the stock to its US indexes last month, with funds such as iShares Russell 1000 ETF already giving investors a piece of the biggest IPO in US history. However, S&P Global declined to create a similar fast-track process for the benchmark S&P 500 in June, and it is expected to take at least a year before SpaceX joins the world's most widely tracked index. SpaceX shares have gained more than 6% since their debut in their short ride marked by post-IPO volatility.
