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Israel Airspace Closure Odds: What Polymarket Signals Mean
Disclaimer: Crypto is a high-risk asset class. This article is provided for informational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. You could lose all of your capital. Israel Airspace closure odds remain in focus as regional tensions involving Iran and its proxies continue to shape assessments of potential restrictions on Israeli airspace. A Polymarket market titled "Israel closes its airspace by...?" has drawn over $29.9 million in trading volume, with the September 30 outcome currently pricing at 95% (Yes shares trading at 95¢, No at 5¢). The high probability reflects traders monitoring the possibility of temporary flight suspensions or broader closures during the market's resolution window. Aviation officials recommended an immediate closure of Ben Gurion Airport in early September amid fresh Iranian missile launches. Authorities nevertheless kept operations open while carrying out ongoing situation assessments. Why the Israel Airspace closure odds have risen Market interest in the Israel Airspace Closure Odds follows renewed regional tension rather than a single confirmed policy decision. Hezbollah missile activity and Houthi threats remain part of the broader risk picture, alongside U.S.-Iran military exchanges since the breakdown of a July ceasefire and recent Iranian strikes on regional U.S. assets. Regulatory caution has also been evident. The European Union Aviation Safety Agency issued an information note on August 31 that remains valid through September 30, advising heightened caution across the Tel Aviv flight information region due to risks associated with ballistic missiles and drones. This is an advisory for operators assessing risk, not a closure order for Israeli airspace. Each of these factors could influence decisions on flight operations, but none, on its own, confirms that a nationwide civilian closure has occurred or will occur. Discover: The Best Token Presales What a market signal does - and does not - prove A prediction market reflects the expectations of participants and the terms of the event being traded. It can be useful as an indication of how traders are interpreting headline risk, but it does not replace official notices, operational directives or the underlying facts on the ground. Readers should therefore separate a market's implied view from a determination made by Israeli aviation or security authorities. Historical aviation data illustrates why terminology needs careful handling. Flightradar24 reported in March that Israeli airspace was technically closed with prior permission required. At the same time, the tracker recorded 75 departing and 52 arriving aircraft at Ben Gurion Airport over a 24-hour period and described the airspace as only partially closed. That was a report from an earlier escalation cycle, not a statement of conditions in September, but it shows that a formal restriction can coexist with continuing flight activity. What could change before September 30 Developments in the remaining period may affect both aviation operations and market expectations. A significant escalation in Iranian or proxy attacks could lead security and aviation authorities to impose additional temporary restrictions or a broader closure. Conversely, operations could continue under heightened caution and limited restrictions without a wider shutdown. The available evidence does not establish which outcome will occur. For anyone following the contract, the most relevant information is likely to be official aviation notices, airport operating updates and EASA's conflict-zone guidance. Those sources address the operational status directly. Market activity may show how participants are interpreting risk, but it should not be treated as confirmation that an airspace closure has been ordered.
Gangwon Police Summon Polymarket Users in Illegal Gambling Probe
Users Claim Platform Is Investment, Not Gambling; Legal Challenge Looms Police have confirmed that they have notified domestic users of the world's largest prediction market platform, Polymarket, to appear for investigation on charges of illegal gambling. Polymarket is classified as an illegal private gambling operation in South Korea. Users argue that applying gambling charges to a prediction market, which they claim is a virtual asset derivatives investment market, is difficult. On the 8th, according to police, the Gangwon Provincial Police Agency notified Polymarket's domestic users en masse to appear the previous day as part of an ongoing investigation into gambling charges. The investigation targets Polymarket users residing nationwide, including in Gangwon Province. Since launching the first investigation into domestic Polymarket users in June of this year, the police have accelerated their probe. Polymarket is a blockchain-based prediction market platform where users wager virtual assets on the outcomes of future events in politics, economics, sports, and social issues in the real world. The Korea Media and Communications Standards Commission resolved on August 18 to request corrective measures (access blocking) against Polymarket, stating that it corresponds to information aimed at aiding gambling and establishing gambling venues under the Criminal Act, as well as "similar acts" under the National Sports Promotion Act. Under current laws, all betting activities on platforms other than Sports Toto (operated by the Korea Sports Promotion Foundation, with a betting limit of 100,000 Korean won) are illegal. Domestic Polymarket users could face fines of up to 10 million Korean won under Article 246 of the Criminal Act (gambling and habitual gambling). Jin Hyunsoo, a virtual asset specialist lawyer at Decent Law Firm, who represents some of the domestic Polymarket users under investigation, stated, "It seems unreasonable to uniformly classify prediction markets, which lack guidelines and do not cause social disorder like actual gambling, as the same category of illegal gambling. There is sufficient room to view prediction markets as virtual asset derivative investments, and we will refute the investigative agency's logic."
Polymarket Odds: Will ORCL, GME, BRZE Beat Earnings Tomorrow?
On Tuesday, September 8, Oracle (ORCL), GameStop (GME), and Braze (BRZE) will report their earnings. All three companies will publish their results after the market closes. Traders are already weighing in with their expectations on Polymarket. Wall Street's Earnings Estimates * Oracle is expected to report an adjusted EPS of $1.74. * GameStop is expected to report an adjusted EPS of 27 cents. * Braze is expected to report an adjusted EPS of 15 cents. What is Polymarket? Polymarket is a prediction platform where traders bet on the outcomes of real-world events, including earnings reports, elections, and economic indicators. Polymarket odds reflect expectations and can provide insight into investor sentiment. Will Oracle Beat Earnings? Oracle has beaten or met earnings estimates during 12 of the past 18 quarters for a success rate of 66.67%. Polymarket gives the multinational tech giant an 88% chance of beating its estimated adjusted EPS of $1.74. Will GameStop Beat Earnings? GameStop has beaten or met earnings estimates during 13 of the past 18 quarters for a success rate of 72.22%. Polymarket gives the video game retailer a 43% chance of beating its estimated adjusted EPS of 27 cents. Will Braze Beat Earnings? Braze has beaten or met earnings estimates during 16 of the past 18 quarters for a success rate of 88.89%. Polymarket gives the customer engagement platform a 37% chance of beating its estimated adjusted EPS of 15 cents. Disclosure: Polymarket odds reflect expectations, not guaranteed outcomes. The odds represent the views and expectations of traders, but actual earnings results can differ significantly from these predictions. Investors should treat Polymarket data as just one tool when evaluating their investment decisions.
Polymarket Gives Former IDF Chief Eisenkot 51 Percent Chance Of Unseating Netanyahu
JERUSALEM (VINnews) -- A major prediction market on Monday put former IDF Chief of Staff Gadi Eisenkot ahead of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as the most likely person to lead Israel after the next election. Polymarket said Eisenkot had a 51 percent chance of becoming the next prime minister, compared with 28 percent for Netanyahu. Former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett stood at 8 percent, and Yisrael Beiteinu leader Avigdor Lieberman at about 5 percent. The market had drawn more than $36 million in trading volume. The platform's official account called the shift "breaking" news, saying the centrist former military chief was now projected to unseat Netanyahu. The figures are not an official poll. They reflect how traders are pricing the chance that a candidate will be sworn in as prime minister after Israel's Oct. 27 Knesset election. In Israel's parliamentary system, the largest party does not automatically form the government. A bloc still needs 61 seats in the 120-member Knesset. Eisenkot, 66, heads the Yashar party, whose name means "straight" or "honest" in Hebrew. He served as IDF chief of staff from 2015 to 2019 and sat in Netanyahu's war Cabinet after the Oct. 7, 2023, Hamas massacre before resigning in 2024, saying the government lacked a coherent strategy in Gaza. His son, Gal, was killed in combat in Gaza. Polls in recent months have shown Yashar running even with or slightly ahead of Likud, with Eisenkot often matching or beating Netanyahu when voters are asked who is more suited to be prime minister. Coalition arithmetic remains tight. Surveys have frequently left both the Netanyahu camp and the anti-Netanyahu Zionist parties short of a majority without additional partners. Eisenkot has rejected the idea of a Palestinian state after Oct. 7, calling that view "delusional," while criticizing some government settlement moves and far-right ministers. He has said haredi parties could sit in a government he leads and has floated a draft framework he describes as more moderate than other opposition plans, a point of interest in recent contacts with Degel HaTorah and comments from Shas spiritual leader Rabbi Yitzhak Yosef. Netanyahu, Israel's longest-serving prime minister, has framed the election as a choice between wartime leadership and a weaker, divided alternative. His bloc has struggled in polls after the wars that followed Oct. 7. Polymarket resolves the contract based on who is formally appointed and sworn in after the election, not on who wins the most seats. An interim or caretaker prime minister would not count. Odds can move quickly before Election Day and during coalition talks that often follow.
Polymarket Promo Code COVERS: Get $50 Trading Bonus for SMU vs. Florida State
Get a $50 Polymarket promo code bonus with code COVERS. Trade on SMU vs. Florida State Monday night with this prediction market offer. New users can claim a $50 trading bonus when they sign up with the Polymarket promo code on Sept. 7. A code is required to unlock this offer, and you'll need to use COVERS during registration. The bonus applies to trading on any event, including the SMU vs. Florida State matchup on Monday night. Among the best prediction market apps, Polymarket lets you trade on sports outcomes and more with your welcome bonus. Polymarket promo code details How the Polymarket Promo Code Works The Polymarket promo code offer requires you to deposit at least $10 to qualify for the $50 bonus. You must enter COVERS when creating your account to activate the promotion. Once verified and funded, your account will be credited with the bonus amount, which you can use to trade on the SMU vs. Florida State game or any other available market. Here are the key terms and conditions for this offer: * Available in most U.S. states except Nevada * You must be physically located in an eligible state * Identity verification is required before trading * Minimum deposit of $10 to claim the bonus * Bonus funds can be used to trade on any Polymarket event For example, if you deposit $10 and receive your $50 bonus, you'll have $60 in buying power to trade on whether SMU or Florida State wins on Monday. If your trades settle in your favor, you keep your winnings. If your positions move against you, your account balance reflects those outcomes. To explore all available promotions and compare offers, check out the best prediction market promos available today. Get our SMU vs. Florida State picks You can find the latest SMU vs. Florida State picks at Covers. Use the correct Polymarket promo code for your state How to Claim Your $50 Polymarket Bonus Follow these steps to sign up and start trading on the SMU vs. Florida State game with your welcome bonus: Polymarket is one of the leading prediction market platforms, offering competitive odds and a wide range of trading opportunities across sports, politics, and more. Pages related to this topic
Polymarket and Kalshi face possible regulation as Supreme Court 'monitors the situation'
Picture it: Prediction markets like Kalshi, platforms which allow users to make "predictions" on almost anything for financial gain, platforms which are plagued with accusations of insider trading, are actually regulated by U.S. state governments under gambling laws. It could be a future possibility, if the Supreme Court could be convinced to make it happen. As reported by The Hill, multiple states have filed petitions to enforce sports gambling laws on Kalshi and platforms like it, including New Jersey and Nevada, which are respectively home to gambling hubs Atlantic City and Las Vegas. And the outcomes of each case could potentially see the eventual involvement of the Supreme Court. In the U.S., each state regulates its own gambling laws, including sports betting, which is legal in 39 states and Washington DC as of May 2026. However, Kalshi and "prediction market" platforms like it are federally regulated, sitting under the watch of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which oversees America's financial derivatives markets. (Polymarket is actually not registered in the U.S. or regulated by the CFTC, though it has established a U.S. outpost which is.) This means these platforms can operate in all 50 states and currently do not answer to state gambling laws -- Kalshi has argued it offers "legal sports event contracts," not bets. However, a bipartisan coalition of 44 states signed a letter in July, declaring prediction market platforms "a new form of casino used primarily for a few to manipulate others -- the type of harms squarely within States' historic police powers to regulate gambling." Meanwhile, President Donald Trump has insisted "it is critically important that the CFTC's exclusive authority over Prediction Markets is maintained, and that they will thrive," even considering his own platform. The president's son, Donald Trump Jr., not only has a financial stake and an advisory role in Kalshi, but is also set to see his venture capital firm invest $300 million in Polymarket. On Sept. 2, New Jersey officials petitioned the Supreme Court to enforce sports gambling laws on Kalshi. "Kalshi bills itself as 'the first app for legal sports betting in all 50 states' and believes it can offer that 'legal sports betting' without following the sports-gambling laws of any of those 50 States," the petition read. The petitioners -- New Jersey attorney general Jennifer Davenport and New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement interim director Mary Jo Flaherty -- said that Kalshi and platforms like it had "discovered a major sports-gambling loophole in the 2010 Dodd-Frank Act" enacted after the 2007-2008 financial crisis. The Act, they said, allows Kalshi to define its offerings as financial "swaps" instead of "bets." The important part here is that in April, the New Jersey case was actually ruled by the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit in favor of Kalshi, meaning the platform could keep on offering its "legal sports event contracts" on college sports within the state's jurisdiction. However, that decision clashes with another decision made in Aug. by the Ninth Circuit, which covers Nevada among other states. An appeal from the Nevada Gaming Control Board saw the Court of Appeals siding not with Kalshi but with the state gaming regulator, which "sent a cease-and-desist letter notifying Kalshi that it was running a sports betting platform in violation of Nevada statutes and gaming regulations." Essentially, the differing state results could get SCOTUS' attention on a federal level. Similar cases have been filed in Connecticut, New York, Arizona, Minnesota, and more states. Next stop? The Supreme Court appeal from the New Jersey regulators. However, actually getting SCOTUS to consider the request isn't guaranteed, with the court receiving thousands each year and granting very few for consideration. Want more tech news delivered to your inbox daily or sent straight to your device? Sign up for Mashable's Top Stories newsletter or get Mashable push alerts.
Kalshi, Polymarket face possible regulation with appeal aimed at SCOTUS
SCOTUS is the focus for state regulators aimed at Kalshi. Credit: Omar Marques / SOPA Images / LightRocket via Getty Images Picture it: Prediction markets like Kalshi, platforms which allow users to make "predictions" on almost anything for financial gain, platforms which are plagued with accusations of insider trading, are actually regulated by U.S. state governments under gambling laws.It could be a future possibility, if the Supreme Court could be convinced to make it happen.As reported by The Hill, multiple states have filed petitions to enforce sports gambling laws on Kalshi and platforms like it, including New Jersey and Nevada, which are respectively home to gambling hubs Atlantic City and Las Vegas. And the outcomes of each case could potentially see the eventual involvement of the Supreme Court. SEE ALSO: France orders Polymarket blocked over illegal gambling promotion In the U.S., each state regulates its own gambling laws, including sports betting, which is legal in 39 states and Washington DC as of May 2026. However, Kalshi and "prediction market" platforms like it are federally regulated, sitting under the watch of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which oversees America's financial derivatives markets. (Polymarket is actually not registered in the U.S. or regulated by the CFTC, though it has established a U.S. outpost which is.) This means these platforms can operate in all 50 states and currently do not answer to state gambling laws -- Kalshi has argued it offers "legal sports event contracts," not bets.However, a bipartisan coalition of 44 states signed a letter in July, declaring prediction market platforms "a new form of casino used primarily for a few to manipulate others -- the type of harms squarely within States' historic police powers to regulate gambling."Meanwhile, President Donald Trump has insisted "it is critically important that the CFTC's exclusive authority over Prediction Markets is maintained, and that they will thrive," even considering his own platform. The president's son, Donald Trump Jr., not only has a financial stake and an advisory role in Kalshi, but is also set to see his venture capital firm invest $300 million in Polymarket. 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"Kalshi bills itself as 'the first app for legal sports betting in all 50 states' and believes it can offer that 'legal sports betting' without following the sports-gambling laws of any of those 50 States," the petition read. The petitioners -- New Jersey attorney general Jennifer Davenport and New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement interim director Mary Jo Flaherty -- said that Kalshi and platforms like it had "discovered a major sports-gambling loophole in the 2010 Dodd-Frank Act" enacted after the 2007-2008 financial crisis. The Act, they said, allows Kalshi to define its offerings as financial "swaps" instead of "bets."The important part here is that in April, the New Jersey case was actually ruled by the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit in favor of Kalshi, meaning the platform could keep on offering its "legal sports event contracts" on college sports within the state's jurisdiction. However, that decision clashes with another decision made in Aug. by the Ninth Circuit, which covers Nevada among other states. An appeal from the Nevada Gaming Control Board saw the Court of Appeals siding not with Kalshi but with the state gaming regulator, which "sent a cease-and-desist letter notifying Kalshi that it was running a sports betting platform in violation of Nevada statutes and gaming regulations." Essentially, the differing state results could get SCOTUS' attention on a federal level.Similar cases have been filed in Connecticut, New York, Arizona, Minnesota, and more states.Next stop? The Supreme Court appeal from the New Jersey regulators. However, actually getting SCOTUS to consider the request isn't guaranteed, with the court receiving thousands each year and granting very few for consideration.Want more tech news delivered to your inbox daily or sent straight to your device? Sign up for Mashable's Top Stories newsletter or get Mashable push alerts.
Polymarket Promo Code COVERS: Get $50 Trading Bonus for Louisville vs. Missisippi
New to prediction markets? The Polymarket promo code COVERS unlocks a $50 trading bonus when you deposit $10 by Sept. 6. This welcome offer lets you trade on Louisville vs. Mississippi and other events across the best prediction market apps. A code is required to claim this bonus. Polymarket promo code details How the Polymarket Promo Code Works The Polymarket promo code COVERS is your gateway to $50 in trading credit. To qualify, you must register a new account, complete identity verification with a government-issued ID and selfie, and deposit a minimum of $10 using debit card, bank transfer, or wire transfer. Once your deposit clears, the $50 bonus is credited to your account for trading. Here are the key terms and conditions: * Available in all U.S. states except Nevada * Must be physically located in an eligible state to trade * Code COVERS must be entered during registration * Minimum $10 deposit required to unlock the bonus * Bonus funds are credited after deposit verification For the Louisville vs. Mississippi matchup, you could trade on the spread, total, or player props. If your prediction on the Cardinals or Rebels proves correct, your winnings are added to your account balance. If your trade moves against you, your account reflects the loss. Explore best prediction market promos to compare other welcome offers available today. Get our Louisville vs. Mississippi picks Betting analyst Geoff Clark has released his Louisville vs. Mississippi picks for this Top 25 neutral-site matchup in Nashville, including a spread play on the Cardinals and a lean on the total. * Louisville +6.5 (48%) * Louisville vs. Mississippi Under 55.5 (54%) * Trinidad Chambliss Under 271.5 Passing Yards (53%) * Isaac Brown Over 71.5 Rushing Yards (51%) * Lincoln Kienholz Under 26.5 Rushing Yards (60%) * Brody Foley Over 16.5 Receiving Yards (62%) * Kewan Lacy Over 16.5 Receiving Yards (43%) * Deuce Alexander Under 59.5 Receiving Yards (57%) Use the correct Polymarket promo code for your state How to Claim Your Polymarket Welcome Bonus Follow these steps to sign up and start trading on Louisville vs. Mississippi with your bonus funds: Pages related to this topic
Polymarket extends upgraded $50 code "OREGON" to Elections and UFC live odds
The Polymarket code OREGON has been extended to UFC odds, and its $50 bonus is live on a $10 deposit for Saturday's Fight Night. New users registering with the Polymarket code OREGON receive a $50 Polymarket sign up bonus after a first deposit of $10 -- a $60 opening balance across every market on the platform. Saturday's UFC card is drawing volume on Polymarket US, with traders repricing the lightweight and featherweight bouts through the week. The Polymarket code OREGON is verified and active as of September 5, 2026, and open to all eligible new US accounts, including readers in Oregon. What separates this Polymarket code and its bonus from most is the entry cost. The required deposit is $10, not $50 or $100, and the $50 bonus is five times that stake, credited immediately. The bonus is not restricted to Polymarket UFC markets either -- it is live across the full board, from Saturday's Fight Night to the 2028 presidential market drawing record volume. Polymarket Code OREGON: Key Terms and Bonus Details (September 5, 2026) * The Polymarket code is OREGON. * Entering OREGON and depositing $10 returns a $50 bonus, for $60 in total trading funds. * The Polymarket code OREGON is verified and active as of September 5, 2026. * It is entered in the promo/referral field at registration and cannot be applied to an existing account. * The $50 bonus is open to new Polymarket US accounts only, one per user. * Bonus funds work on every open market, including Polymarket UFC odds and the politics board. Polymarket Code OREGON: How to Claim the $50 Bonus Tip: the code has to go in during registration. A Polymarket code cannot be applied to an account that already exists, and expired codes will not return the bonus. Polymarket Code OREGON: Terms and Conditions * Bonus: $50 in trading funds * Deposit required: $10 minimum first deposit * Total starting balance: $60 * Code: OREGON * Where it goes: The promo/referral field at registration * Eligibility: New Polymarket US accounts only; one per user * Active as of: September 5, 2026 * Usage: Valid on all open Polymarket odds and prediction markets -- UFC, politics, crypto, finance, and global events * Withdrawal: Subject to Polymarket's standard terms; review current terms at Polymarket.com What Is the $50 Polymarket Bonus Worth? The bonus attached to OREGON is $50 in trading funds on a $10 deposit -- a 500% match, the largest ratio of any new-user bonus currently running on a US prediction market, delivered as tradeable funds rather than a restricted credit. A $60 opening balance spread across Polymarket UFC markets, the lightweight title futures, and the politics board gives a new trader room to take several positions rather than one, with no market restriction and no minimum trading volume before it unlocks. Polymarket UFC Odds for Saturday's Fight Night: What the Market Is Pricing Saturday's Fight Night is live on Polymarket US, and two of the main-card bouts are drawing steady action. On Polymarket, each cent price is the market's implied probability -- a fighter at 58¢ is priced at roughly a 58% chance to win. The total is priced on whether the fight goes over or under 2.5 rounds: Polymarket odds update in real time and may shift before the walkouts. All figures current as of September 5, 2026. Track live Polymarket UFC odds for Saturday's Fight Night. Polymarket UFC Futures: Lightweight Champion at the End of 2026 The same $60 balance reaches the futures board, where the lightweight title picture is one of the most lopsided markets in the division. Polymarket has Justin Gaethje priced as a heavy favorite to hold the belt at year's end: Market resolves at the end of 2026. Figures current as of September 5, 2026; several more fighters are priced in the same market. View live Polymarket UFC futures. Polymarket Politics Markets: 2028 Presidential Winner Polymarket's politics markets are the platform's highest-volume category outside sports, and the Polymarket code OREGON unlocks them on the same $10 deposit as UFC. The 2028 presidential winner market has cleared nearly $700 million in volume and is repricing continuously. Here is how the top of the field is currently priced: Figures current as of September 5, 2026. The four names above lead a wider field of more than 50 candidates priced in the same market. View live Polymarket politics markets. Polymarket Code vs. Kalshi Promo Code vs. DraftKings Promo Code: Three platforms are courting new customers into Saturday's Fight Night. Two are prediction markets, one is a sportsbook: Polymarket runs fully peer-to-peer -- every trade is matched between users, and Polymarket odds tend to move first on breaking fight news. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange matching limit orders; its Kalshi promo code OREGONLIVE1 and Kalshi referral code OREGONLIVE1 point to the same flat 100% deposit match -- $25 in bonus funds on a $25 deposit, for $50 total, with no minimum trade count. DraftKings is a licensed sportsbook where the reward arrives as non-withdrawable bonus bets -- signing up with this DraftKings promo code unlocks Spend $5, Get $200 in Bonuses after a $5 qualifying bet. On entry cost alone, the Polymarket code OREGON is the least demanding: $10 in, $60 to trade, no volume requirement. Do You Need a DraftKings Promo Code to Claim the Bonus? No. DraftKings does not require a DraftKings promo code at registration -- a persistent misconception. The DraftKings bonus attaches automatically when a new customer signs up through an eligible link and places a qualifying $5 bet. Polymarket is the opposite: the Polymarket code OREGON must be entered at sign-up, or the $50 bonus is never granted. Other Verified Polymarket Codes for Saturday's Fight Night: The Polymarket code OREGON is one of five verified codes carrying the same $50 bonus on a $10 deposit as of September 5, 2026: Each is sourced through Polymarket's official affiliate program. Conclusion: Use the $50 Bonus with Polymarket Code OREGON for Saturday's UFC Fight Night! Saturday's UFC card is one of the busiest Polymarket UFC markets on the board, and the walkouts are the window to fund an account. Registering with the Polymarket code OREGON takes under five minutes and turns a $10 deposit into $60 of trading funds. The Polymarket code OREGON is verified, active as of September 5, 2026, and limited to new users -- it cannot be reused, and it will not carry the bonus once that window closes.
LeBron James Teases New Partnership With Prediction-Market Polymarket | Market Polymarket
LeBron James has teased a partnership with Polymarket after visiting the prediction-market company's headquarters. The Philadelphia 76ers forward shared a 14-second video on X and Instagram on Saturday. He captioned the clip, "Welcome to Polymarket HQ. Coming soon," while identifying it as a partnership with Polymarket. The video provides few details about the deal. It remains unclear whether James will appear in Polymarket advertising or take on a broader role. Polymarket reposted the video and thanked James for visiting its headquarters. James' Free Agency Drew Heavy Trading The teaser follows James' recent free-agency decision, which generated about $273 million in prediction-market trading. Traders largely f... Read The Full Article LeBron James Teases New Partnership With Prediction-Market Polymarket On Coin Edition.
Polymarket Launches Perpetual Oil Futures in 24/7 Trading Push
(Bloomberg) -- Polymarket has launched perpetual futures contracts tied to oil, stepping into a market that rival Kalshi Inc. is also seeking to enter as trading venues compete to offer round-the-clock access to the commodity. Most Read from Bloomberg The company announced the launch Thursday as part of a broader rollout of perpetual futures spanning crypto, stocks and commodities including gold and silver. Among them are two never-expiring contracts linked to the Brent and West Texas Intermediate oil benchmarks, a type of derivative facing scrutiny over its potential impact on price discovery in physical markets. The launch comes a day after it was reported that Kalshi is seeking regulatory approval for its own perpetual futures contract linked to West Texas Intermediate oil. If approved, it would be the first contract of its kind to trade on a regulated US platform. Polymarket's contracts will trade offshore and won't be available to US-based traders, putting the venue in more direct competition for now with exchanges including Hyperliquid and Binance. Perpetual futures are derivatives with no expiration date and built-in leverage, allowing customers to amplify the risk they take with each trade. The contracts surged in popularity during the Iran war as one of the few ways to trade oil while traditional futures markets were closed and have since become a flashpoint in the debate over whether weekend trading can influence prices once traditional markets reopen. There are other key differences between the Polymarket and Kalshi offerings. Unlike Polymarket's nonstop contract, Kalshi's oil-linked contract would trade 24 hours a day, five days a week. The structure was designed to address regulatory concerns raised in a Commodity Futures Trading Commission review of trading outside regular market hours, Bloomberg previously reported. Polymarket first telegraphed plans for the launch in April, though it was unclear at the time whether oil would be among the offerings. The contracts will allow traders to use up to 20 times leverage, according to a social media post by the venue. The ability of retail traders to take on outsized risk has been a key concern surrounding perpetual futures.
California Polymarket Promo Code COVERS: Get $50 Bonus for Fresno State vs. USC Prediction Markets
Get a $50 Polymarket promo code bonus with code COVERS. Trade on Fresno State vs. USC Friday with the best prediction market apps. New traders can claim a $50 trading bonus on Polymarket when they use the Polymarket promo code COVERS during registration. The offer is available as of Sept. 4 and requires a $10 deposit to unlock. Start trading on the Fresno State vs. USC matchup Friday and explore one of the best prediction market apps available today. Polymarket promo code details How the Polymarket Promo Code Works The Polymarket promo code COVERS unlocks a $50 welcome bonus when you deposit $10 into your account. This bonus gives you additional trading capital to place positions on the Fresno State vs. USC game. If your trades on the Trojans' matchup win, your profits are yours to keep. If a trade settles against you, your loss is limited to what you wagered from your initial deposit and bonus funds combined. Key terms and conditions include: * Available in all U.S. states except Nevada * Must be physically located in an eligible state to claim * Requires identity verification with a government-issued ID and selfie * Minimum $10 deposit required to activate the bonus * Bonus funds are credited immediately after deposit clears You can trade on various outcomes for the Fresno State vs. USC game, from team performance contracts to player prop markets. Whether you're predicting USC's offensive output or Fresno State's defensive performance, your bonus funds work just like regular trading capital. To explore more opportunities, check out the best prediction market promos available across the industry. Get our Fresno State vs. USC picks Betting analyst JD Yonke has released his Fresno State vs. USC picks, covering the spread, total, and a three-leg parlay for this Friday night matchup at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. * USC -21.5 spread (53%) * Fresno State vs. USC under 51.5 total (51%) * Fresno State team total under 14.5 game prop (3.75x parlay) Use the correct Polymarket promo code for your state How to Claim Your Polymarket Welcome Offer Follow these steps to sign up, deposit, and start trading on Fresno State vs. USC with your bonus funds: For more details on Polymarket and how it compares to other prediction platforms, read our Polymarket review. Pages related to this topic
Polymarket Vows Insider Trading Crackdown as Traders Bet $12M on CLARITY Act
* Polymarket says it is strengthening its systems for identifying insider trading and other suspicious activity ahead of the US midterm elections. * Nearly $12 million has been traded on whether the CLARITY Act will become law in 2026, although traders currently give it only a 15% chance. * Rival Kalshi has permanently banned former congressman George Santos over trades linked to his own State of the Union attendance. Polymarket has pledged to intensify its crackdown on insider trading and other market misconduct as millions of dollars flow into politically sensitive prediction markets. The company's new investigations chief said it has surveillance systems capable of identifying abnormal trading ahead of the US midterm elections, when lawmakers expect activity on political contracts to surge. The assurances arrive as traders wager nearly $12 million on whether the CLARITY Act will become law before the end of 2026. Polymarket Chief Says Platform Can Detect Suspicious Trades Polymarket is preparing to disclose more information about the systems it uses to protect the integrity of its markets. The company's monitoring operation combines machine learning with blockchain analytics, open-source research and conventional trade surveillance, according to Reuters. Bautista, a former FBI investigator who joined the company in June, said she was confident Polymarket would provide the resources required to police its platform. She added that the company already had systems capable of detecting anomalous activity ahead of the midterms. Polymarket's international platform does not publicly reveal the identities behind individual accounts. However, its blockchain system creates a visible record of wallet transactions that investigators can examine. That information can help the company detect unusual trading patterns or connections between apparently separate accounts. Bautista told Reuters that Polymarket had referred more than 100 matters to law enforcement. Among the examples she cited was an account allegedly used by a US soldier to place trades connected to the capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro. Polymarket has faced separate questions over Americans accessing its international service. The CFTC penalized the company in 2022 for offering event contracts without obtaining the required registration. The resulting settlement required Polymarket to prevent US customers from using that platform. It later regained access to the US market by purchasing a federally registered exchange, which operates as the separate Polymarket US business.
Polymarket Launches Perpetual Trading Offering 20x Leverage
This expansion could attract more traders amid mixed market signals. Polymarket has launched a new trading feature, Polymarket Perps, allowing traders to engage in perpetual contracts with leverage up to 20x. This service is available internationally in jurisdictions where it is permitted by law. The development could significantly impact trading volume and user engagement as it offers enhanced flexibility for traders looking to capitalize on market movements. source Inside the Move The introduction of perpetual trading on Polymarket marks a significant expansion in its trading offerings. Users can now trade a variety of assets, including cryptocurrencies, stocks, and commodities, with the ability to leverage their positions substantially. This enhancement comes at a time when the broader crypto market shows mixed signals, indicating a potential shift in trader sentiment and engagement. With the market dynamics evolving, traders may find new opportunities in these leveraged positions. What We Know * Polymarket has launched perpetual trading with 20x leverage effective immediately. The service includes cryptocurrencies, stocks, and commodities. Trading is available in jurisdictions where permitted by law. The platform aims to enhance user engagement and trading volume. This launch positions Polymarket as a competitive player in the DeFi landscape. The Numbers Currently, Polymarket has reported no trading volume in the last 24 hours as it rolls out this new feature. The lack of trading activity may be attributed to traders awaiting more information on the platform's offerings and market conditions. However, the launch of perpetual trading could soon change this dynamic, encouraging increased participation as users explore the benefits of high leverage trading. Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform allowing users to bet on various outcomes across multiple sectors, including cryptocurrencies, politics, and entertainment. The platform operates under regulatory frameworks in different jurisdictions, making compliance essential for its global offerings. As such, the recent launch of perpetual trading reflects Polymarket's commitment to expanding its services while adhering to legal requirements. What to Watch Traders should keep an eye on Polymarket's trading volumes and user engagement in the coming weeks as the new feature gains traction. The introduction of perpetual contracts could lead to increased trading activity, especially if market conditions stabilize. Additionally, the overall sentiment in the crypto market, including factors such as interest rates and regulatory developments, will likely influence trader behavior on the platform.
Firm linked to Trump Jr. invests millions in Polymarket
WASHINGTON (TNND) -- An investment firm, where Donald Trump Jr. is a partner, is making a major bet on the prediction-market platform Polymarket, leading a new $1 billion funding round that values the company at about $21 billion. 1789 Capital, a Florida-based venture capital firm where Trump Jr. is a partner, is said to be investing another $300 million on top of roughly $200 million it had already invested. The deal is drawing attention as prediction markets such as Polymarket and its rival, Kalshi, have surged in popularity over the past year, with millions of users betting billions of dollars on real-world events. The platforms allow users to bet money on outcomes tied to current events, from politics to entertainment. Events include who will win the Super Bowl, who will win "Love Island" or whether the U.S. will take military action abroad. If a user's prediction is right, they can make money; if it's wrong, someone else does. The platforms make money by placing fees on each bet. Kalshi has also made headlines this week after banning former Republican Congressman George Santos. The company took the action after Santos placed bets earlier this year on his own potential appearance at the State of the Union. Trump Jr., the president's oldest son, has ties to both Polymarket and Kalshi and is an advisor to both companies. When he joined Kalshi as an advisor last year, he received company shares reportedly worth more than $300,000. The investment is also being closely watched because it comes as the Trump administration has taken a friendly approach to prediction markets. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the federal agency that oversees the industry, has praised the companies and challenged state efforts to regulate them, and the leader of that commission is a Trump appointee. Critics have raised questions about whether the president's son's business ties could give the platforms an edge when it comes to federal regulations, or a lack thereof. There are also broader concerns about the industry, including whether people with inside information could profit from bets on politics, wars or other major events. Trump Jr. has said he invests as a private citizen and does not hold a policy role in his father's administration. As more money tied to the Trump family flows into Polymarket, questions about who profits -- and who regulates the industry -- are growing louder.
Firm linked to Trump Jr. invests millions in Polymarket
WASHINGTON (TNND) -- An investment firm, where Donald Trump Jr. is a partner, is making a major bet on the prediction-market platform Polymarket, leading a new $1 billion funding round that values the company at about $21 billion. 1789 Capital, a Florida-based venture capital firm where Trump Jr. is a partner, is said to be investing another $300 million on top of roughly $200 million it had already invested. The deal is drawing attention as prediction markets such as Polymarket and its rival, Kalshi, have surged in popularity over the past year, with millions of users betting billions of dollars on real-world events. The platforms allow users to bet money on outcomes tied to current events, from politics to entertainment. Events include who will win the Super Bowl, who will win "Love Island" or whether the U.S. will take military action abroad. If a user's prediction is right, they can make money; if it's wrong, someone else does. The platforms make money by placing fees on each bet. Kalshi has also made headlines this week after banning former Republican Congressman George Santos. The company took the action after Santos placed bets earlier this year on his own potential appearance at the State of the Union. Trump Jr., the president's oldest son, has ties to both Polymarket and Kalshi and is an advisor to both companies. When he joined Kalshi as an advisor last year, he received company shares reportedly worth more than $300,000. The investment is also being closely watched because it comes as the Trump administration has taken a friendly approach to prediction markets. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the federal agency that oversees the industry, has praised the companies and challenged state efforts to regulate them, and the leader of that commission is a Trump appointee. Critics have raised questions about whether the president's son's business ties could give the platforms an edge when it comes to federal regulations, or a lack thereof. There are also broader concerns about the industry, including whether people with inside information could profit from bets on politics, wars or other major events. Trump Jr. has said he invests as a private citizen and does not hold a policy role in his father's administration. As more money tied to the Trump family flows into Polymarket, questions about who profits -- and who regulates the industry -- are growing louder.
Firm linked to Trump Jr. invests millions in Polymarket
WASHINGTON (TNND) -- An investment firm, where Donald Trump Jr. is a partner, is making a major bet on the prediction-market platform Polymarket, leading a new $1 billion funding round that values the company at about $21 billion. 1789 Capital, a Florida-based venture capital firm where Trump Jr. is a partner, is said to be investing another $300 million on top of roughly $200 million it had already invested. The deal is drawing attention as prediction markets such as Polymarket and its rival, Kalshi, have surged in popularity over the past year, with millions of users betting billions of dollars on real-world events. The platforms allow users to bet money on outcomes tied to current events, from politics to entertainment. Events include who will win the Super Bowl, who will win "Love Island" or whether the U.S. will take military action abroad. If a user's prediction is right, they can make money; if it's wrong, someone else does. The platforms make money by placing fees on each bet. Kalshi has also made headlines this week after banning former Republican Congressman George Santos. The company took the action after Santos placed bets earlier this year on his own potential appearance at the State of the Union. Trump Jr., the president's oldest son, has ties to both Polymarket and Kalshi and is an advisor to both companies. When he joined Kalshi as an advisor last year, he received company shares reportedly worth more than $300,000. The investment is also being closely watched because it comes as the Trump administration has taken a friendly approach to prediction markets. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the federal agency that oversees the industry, has praised the companies and challenged state efforts to regulate them, and the leader of that commission is a Trump appointee. Critics have raised questions about whether the president's son's business ties could give the platforms an edge when it comes to federal regulations, or a lack thereof. There are also broader concerns about the industry, including whether people with inside information could profit from bets on politics, wars or other major events. Trump Jr. has said he invests as a private citizen and does not hold a policy role in his father's administration. As more money tied to the Trump family flows into Polymarket, questions about who profits -- and who regulates the industry -- are growing louder.
Firm linked to Trump Jr. invests millions in Polymarket
WASHINGTON (TNND) -- An investment firm, where Donald Trump Jr. is a partner, is making a major bet on the prediction-market platform Polymarket, leading a new $1 billion funding round that values the company at about $21 billion. 1789 Capital, a Florida-based venture capital firm where Trump Jr. is a partner, is said to be investing another $300 million on top of roughly $200 million it had already invested. The deal is drawing attention as prediction markets such as Polymarket and its rival, Kalshi, have surged in popularity over the past year, with millions of users betting billions of dollars on real-world events. The platforms allow users to bet money on outcomes tied to current events, from politics to entertainment. Events include who will win the Super Bowl, who will win "Love Island" or whether the U.S. will take military action abroad. If a user's prediction is right, they can make money; if it's wrong, someone else does. The platforms make money by placing fees on each bet. Kalshi has also made headlines this week after banning former Republican Congressman George Santos. The company took the action after Santos placed bets earlier this year on his own potential appearance at the State of the Union. Trump Jr., the president's oldest son, has ties to both Polymarket and Kalshi and is an advisor to both companies. When he joined Kalshi as an advisor last year, he received company shares reportedly worth more than $300,000. The investment is also being closely watched because it comes as the Trump administration has taken a friendly approach to prediction markets. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the federal agency that oversees the industry, has praised the companies and challenged state efforts to regulate them, and the leader of that commission is a Trump appointee. Critics have raised questions about whether the president's son's business ties could give the platforms an edge when it comes to federal regulations, or a lack thereof. There are also broader concerns about the industry, including whether people with inside information could profit from bets on politics, wars or other major events. Trump Jr. has said he invests as a private citizen and does not hold a policy role in his father's administration. As more money tied to the Trump family flows into Polymarket, questions about who profits -- and who regulates the industry -- are growing louder.
Firm linked to Trump Jr. invests millions in Polymarket
WASHINGTON (TNND) -- An investment firm, where Donald Trump Jr. is a partner, is making a major bet on the prediction-market platform Polymarket, leading a new $1 billion funding round that values the company at about $21 billion. 1789 Capital, a Florida-based venture capital firm where Trump Jr. is a partner, is said to be investing another $300 million on top of roughly $200 million it had already invested. The deal is drawing attention as prediction markets such as Polymarket and its rival, Kalshi, have surged in popularity over the past year, with millions of users betting billions of dollars on real-world events. The platforms allow users to bet money on outcomes tied to current events, from politics to entertainment. Events include who will win the Super Bowl, who will win "Love Island" or whether the U.S. will take military action abroad. If a user's prediction is right, they can make money; if it's wrong, someone else does. The platforms make money by placing fees on each bet. Kalshi has also made headlines this week after banning former Republican Congressman George Santos. The company took the action after Santos placed bets earlier this year on his own potential appearance at the State of the Union. Trump Jr., the president's oldest son, has ties to both Polymarket and Kalshi and is an advisor to both companies. When he joined Kalshi as an advisor last year, he received company shares reportedly worth more than $300,000. The investment is also being closely watched because it comes as the Trump administration has taken a friendly approach to prediction markets. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the federal agency that oversees the industry, has praised the companies and challenged state efforts to regulate them, and the leader of that commission is a Trump appointee. Critics have raised questions about whether the president's son's business ties could give the platforms an edge when it comes to federal regulations, or a lack thereof. There are also broader concerns about the industry, including whether people with inside information could profit from bets on politics, wars or other major events. Trump Jr. has said he invests as a private citizen and does not hold a policy role in his father's administration. As more money tied to the Trump family flows into Polymarket, questions about who profits -- and who regulates the industry -- are growing louder.
Firm linked to Trump Jr. invests millions in Polymarket
WASHINGTON (TNND) -- An investment firm, where Donald Trump Jr. is a partner, is making a major bet on the prediction-market platform Polymarket, leading a new $1 billion funding round that values the company at about $21 billion. 1789 Capital, a Florida-based venture capital firm where Trump Jr. is a partner, is said to be investing another $300 million on top of roughly $200 million it had already invested. The deal is drawing attention as prediction markets such as Polymarket and its rival, Kalshi, have surged in popularity over the past year, with millions of users betting billions of dollars on real-world events. The platforms allow users to bet money on outcomes tied to current events, from politics to entertainment. Events include who will win the Super Bowl, who will win "Love Island" or whether the U.S. will take military action abroad. If a user's prediction is right, they can make money; if it's wrong, someone else does. The platforms make money by placing fees on each bet. Kalshi has also made headlines this week after banning former Republican Congressman George Santos. The company took the action after Santos placed bets earlier this year on his own potential appearance at the State of the Union. Trump Jr., the president's oldest son, has ties to both Polymarket and Kalshi and is an advisor to both companies. When he joined Kalshi as an advisor last year, he received company shares reportedly worth more than $300,000. The investment is also being closely watched because it comes as the Trump administration has taken a friendly approach to prediction markets. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the federal agency that oversees the industry, has praised the companies and challenged state efforts to regulate them, and the leader of that commission is a Trump appointee. Critics have raised questions about whether the president's son's business ties could give the platforms an edge when it comes to federal regulations, or a lack thereof. There are also broader concerns about the industry, including whether people with inside information could profit from bets on politics, wars or other major events. Trump Jr. has said he invests as a private citizen and does not hold a policy role in his father's administration. As more money tied to the Trump family flows into Polymarket, questions about who profits -- and who regulates the industry -- are growing louder.
